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One of the most interesting things about this state is that it's proving to be in microcosm what Democrats hope and data suggests is happening to the US at large -- a growing number of minority voters, now aggressively registered and turning out at the polls with the help of early voting, have transformed the state.

He's been tracking the numbers in early voting in the state, focusing on registration levels, compared to 2008 and 2010. And his latest read as of today is that the door has not quite but close to closed on Romney's hopes in the state. Read his take here.