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Bad News for Romney in New NBC Polls

Ohio: Obama 51%, Romney 45%
Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 47%

These numbers are broadly in line with recent polls, though the Florida numbers have been a bit more all over the map. Earlier this evening Mason-Dixon reported Romney 51%, Obama 45% in Florida.

But in terms of the big picture, Florida doesn't have to matter. Obama can lose Florida and still win handily. Romney needs to win Florida, Ohio and probably a couple other states to win.

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Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.