A slew of readers have written in to note that -- contrary to my post below
-- there is
a new poll out fron Iowa. And it has Howard Dean back out in front of Dick Gephardt by 5%.
As I noted earlier, the Des Moines Register
poll showing Gephardt jumping ahead of Dean left me wanting more data to confirm that this wasn't simply an outlier. That poll seemed to showing a cresting of Dean's support in the state. And I haven't seen other signs of that.
However, the new poll
by SurveysUSA doesn't change my opinion. Why? Because it is based on a methodology (no human poll-taker, just an automated phone system) I find suspect and the Des Moines Register
survey has a long track-record and is highly respected.
So, it's another data-point. And it's more recent. But I'm still waiting for more data. Particularly, for another poll from the Des Moines Register