Kevin Drum has set about busting
some of the exit poll myths that have already stuck themselves like barnacles to the midterm election results. Here's the CliffsNotes version:
Myth #1: It was the youth vote that pushed Democrats over the top.
Myth #2: Democrats won a third of the white evangelical vote.
Myth #3: Democrats won by running conservative candidates.
Myth #2 is the one that gets me. Kevin says he has no idea where that one came from, which at first struck me as odd because the one-third figure has been widely reported, including here at TPM
, based on an AP story
the evening of Election Day.
But look at the key paragraph in the AP
Those early exit polls also showed that three in four voters said corruption was very important to their vote, and they tended to vote Democratic. In a sign of a dispirited GOP base, most white evangelicals said corruption was very important to their vote â and almost a third of them turned to the Democrats.
I, too, first read that as saying one-third of evangelicals voted Democratic. But what I think it's actually saying is that one-third of those evangelicals who said corruption was very important to their vote went for the Democrats.
Mystery solved? Kevin's entire post is here