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Not Just A Clown Show

Donald Trump doesn't just lead in the latest Washington Post/ABC News poll, but he has nearly double the support of the nearest candidate and has a more commanding lead than any other Republican candidate has had in their polling of the race to this point.

Here's how the Post put it: "That is the highest percentage and biggest lead recorded by any GOP candidate this year in Post-ABC News polls and marks a sixfold increase in his support since late May, shortly before he formally joined the race."

Most of the survey was conducted before Trump's controversial remarks Saturday about John McCain, and they did find some statistically significant drop-off in Trump's support among those polled after the remarks. That means Trump's support could have declined from its peak, but it also suggests that his peak was somewhere north of 24 percent.

Netanyahu's Epic Triumph

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu gambled everything on his effort to derail President Obama's Iran diplomacy. He openly supported his 2012 general election opponent. He even accepted a secret invitation to speak before a joint session of Congress for the express purpose of trying to sabotage a signature element of the Head of State's foreign policy agenda. It's widely agreed across the political spectrum that at the level of top leadership, US-Israel relations are at their lowest point in decades, despite the fact that the security relationship has actually grown closer and more robust since 2009. The only debate is whether confronting the dangers of the Iran deal merited the risk to the relationship. So Netanyahu bet everything and he lost. With those facts, you might be thinking that for most politicians this would be a terrible setback or even the end of their career. But, as Asher Schechter explains here, nothing could be further from the case.

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TPM is Hiring a Polling Intern

TPM is seeking a Polling Intern to help manage its award winning app, PollTracker. This is a paid internship program in which interns get a crash course in polling and in how a digital media news organization works from the ground up. We’re taking applications for a polling internship to begin immediately.

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Nope. Trump's Latest Outrage Will Not Sink Him One Bit

Has Donald Trump finally done it? Finally gone too far?

Coming from Trump, the comments seem more ridiculous than outrageous. And let's not forget that, only a decade ago, Republicans ran an entire presidential campaign around a more pervasive and aggressive denigration of another decorated Vietnam combat vet's service record. But whatever I think of it, will Trump's latest outrage finally sink him with his growing ranks of supporters? I very much doubt it.

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The Tall Guy and the F-Word

As long as I created confusion over this, here's what I meant: Obama no longer gives a fuck. I assume you don't give fucks when you simply have none left to give. It's a supply-side phenomenon, which I think squares with most our personal experience. And when I thought of Obama's sometimes Achilles' heel of extreme accommodation of his adversaries, often getting little or nothing in return, it occurred to me that President Obama had been overdrawing his fucks account for sometime. Let's call it deficit spending in fucks. And now, he has none left. I noted that he may have private reserve for extreme or personal need. But basically he is out of fucks to give.

Donald Trump Can't Stop, Won't Stop

You have probably seen by now the remarks Donald Trump made today not only belittling John McCain's status as a war hero but mocking him for having been captured by the North Vietnamese. McCain "is a war hero because he was captured. I like people who weren't captured," Trump said to Frank Luntz, who was moderating at the event in Ames, Iowa.

You should watch the whole exchange because it actually manages to be more sneering and caustic than it comes across in print, and it's pretty terrible in print (video here).

But Trump wasn't finished there.

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