Opinions, Context & Ideas from the TPM Editors TPM Editor's Blog

Speaking of gambling with

Speaking of gambling with Social Security, there is an extremely odd and interesting New York Times piece by Damien Cave out today about Bush's failure to get young'uns psyched about privatizing SocSec. There are several Onion-quality passages in this article--including the suggestion that Bush needs some Youth Celebrities (maybe hip-hop artists?) to give his sort-of-plan the requisite sex appeal. But here's the money quote:

To compete, the White House might want to up the ante. Robert J. Shiller, the Yale economist and author of "Irrational Exuberance," an examination of the 1990's boom, said that for this generation, the investment options Mr. Bush's plan will probably offer - low-risk bonds and stock-index funds - are "pretty dull," especially compared to the freedom people have when they invest online or with their 401(k) plans.

Young workers, he said, are likely to see the plans as paternalistic, designed by and for their parents. The White House, Mr. Shiller said, might consider offering economic transformation, in the form of more money to invest, or more options.

"Young people today are captivated by poker," Mr. Shiller said. "All this excitement that the president wants young people to feel can only happen when they are playing the game."

From what I know of Schiller's views on Bush's plan, I suspect his tongue was planted so firmly in his cheek during the interview with Cave that he must have spoken in a muffled lisp. But if Rove and his spinmeisters take this idea seriously, they must now find a way to counteract all the Safe 'n' Sound talk about Social Security privatiziation that they've aimed at seniors and near-seniors. According to Cave's analysis, Bush needs to make his proposal sound dangerous and exciting. Gamble on your future! Get control of those payroll taxes now! Screw security! Who wants to get old, anyway? And who cares if insecurity will trouble your sleep? You can sleep when you're dead.

Aside from the theatre

Aside from the theatre of the Schiavo melodrama, Republicans are engaged in a variety of entertainment spectacles these days. And as always, the GOPers from my home state of Georgia are in the vanguard of play-acting, as illustrated by two separate items in John Harris's SundayPolitics column in today's WaPo.

Neither of these items involve that classic impresario Ralph Reed, who is running for Lieutenant Governor of Georgia, and who will soon have to stage a true Oscar-quality performance to explain his role in the ever-burgeoning Ambramoff/Indian Casino scandal, destined to become an HBO miniseries.

First, Harris reports on the acting studio that Rep. Jack Kingston, who chairs the House Republican Conference, has set up to train GOP congressmen and staff in how to deal with hostile constituents in all those Social Security town hall meetings they are reluctantly hosting. Turns out most of the sparse audience for Kingston's Method Acting production wants to know about substance, not style, and there the Georgian is at a bit of a loss. He is, however, offering pizza to his attendees.

Second, and for dessert, Harris notes that a familiar figure has joined the Retread Circuit in Las Vegas:

If you are on the Vegas Strip next month and get shut out for tickets to Wayne Newton, you could have a fallback with a different Newton. Former House speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) is playing at Vegas next month, with an April 14 appearance at the Silverton casino, just a few miles south of the Strip. The Silverton said Gingrich will appear to "tell his inspiring story."

I'm not a big Vegas fan, and have never been to the Silverton casino, but with Gingrich as the headliner, you have to figure this is a place where the most exciting action is Keno. Still, Vegas is Vegas, and Gingrich will probably have to croon a few tunes between episodes in the "inspiring story" of his rise from young party hack to right-wing incendiary to national pariah and twice-divorced hypocrite, and back again. Given what we have heard about his future plans, he probably won't belt out his own version of the other Newton's signature song, Auf Wiedersehen.

Let's hope that this time, for real, "what happens in Vegas stays in Vegas."

And BTW, what's with Republicans and casinos these days? Is that what makes them so determined to gamble with Social Security? You tell me.

UPDATE: In an amazing demonstration of the omniscience of TPM readers, I have learned from several sources that Wayne Newton's teutonic signature song is not "Auf Wiedersehen," but "Danke Schoen."

But according to a quick Google search, here's the signature line of that signature song:

"Though we go on our separate ways, Still the mem'ry stays, for always, My heart says, danke schoen. Danke shoen, auf weidershein, Danke shoen."

Spelling issues aside, I still don't think this is a sentiment Newt would want to deliver in Vegas, or in Washington.

Why ask several bloggers

Why, ask several bloggers and more than a couple of emails to this site, do Senate Democrats, and particularly Democratic Leader Harry Reid, seem to be cooperating with the Schiavo travesty? In particular, a lot of folks are very unhappy with a statement referring to the Senate's version of the Schiavo bill as "bipartisan," and suggesting House Republicans may not be willing to pass it.

There's a lot of confusion over Reid's statement and its timing (on Thursday, well before the latest round of shenanigans), but best I can tell, Senate Dems are going along with a "private bill" giving Schiavo's parents a hearing before a federal judge as a way to head off what House Republicans really want to do, which is to establish a new federal law on life support withdrawal that will apply to all cases, not just to Schiavo's.

Now that the effort to get the House to approve the "private bill" on a voice vote has failed, no telling what Republicans will try to do, but it's a pretty good bet Reid and other Senate Dems will strongly resist any effort to pass a "no right to die" bill.

In other words, the fight is escalating, and it's a fight that both Tom DeLay and Senate GOP leader Bill Frist seem to be entering into with considerable relish. DeLay, of course, would love nothing more than to identify himself with something, with anything, other than the pack of ethics problems surrounding him like a "treed" possum.

As for Frist, I think my colleague Marshall Wittman (a.k.a. The Bull Moose) probably hit it on the head in a quote that he served up to the London Times today: “I suspect that Senator Frist has his eye more on the Iowa caucus than the Hippocratic oath."

As I awoke this

As I awoke this Palm Sunday, I somehow hoped I had dreamed the whole Schiavo case (sorta the same dashed hope I had each morning for about a month after election day). No such luck.

After House Democrats objected to a maneuver to whip though Schiavo legislation on a voice vote with only a few Members present, it's now clear Congress is coming back in the middle of its Easter Recess to conduct an emergency session--usually the sort of thing reserved for the outbreak of war--aimed at intervening in this family and medical decision and overriding Florida law.

And why? Well, here's the explanation Republican Senators were given, in the form of a (hate to profane the term) talking points memo that the Washington Post got hold of:

"This is an important moral issue and the pro-life base will be excited that the Senate is debating this important issue," said the memo, which was reported by ABC News and later given to The Washington Post. "This is a great political issue, because Senator Nelson of Florida has already refused to become a cosponsor and this is a tough issue for Democrats."
Since my angry post on this travesty last night, I've gotten a lot of very interesting emails, including one from a deeply religious, deeply family-oriented man who had to make the same decision as Michael Schiavo twice within a short period of time, for each of his parents. The idea that Tom DeLay, the Human Ethics Charge Magnet, is morally superior to this man, or in a better position to decide such matters, is too offensive for words. Yet words like "murder, "barbarism," and "medical terrorism" continue to spew from DeLay's mouth.

The one email that most gave me pause was from a woman who described herself as a "full-fledged, card-carrying Democrats," and then said this: "I may be a scientist, but that doesn't trump the fact I'm also a mother and when I read the about this case, my mother instincts dominate."

Once again, my stubborn refusal to watch television may be impairing my political judgment. I get the feeling that the image of Terri Schiavo's mother, Mary Schindler, begging George W. Bush to "save my little girl" may be more powerful than the facts.

But the people exploiting this saga have other fish to fry. One of the protesters outside the Pinellas Park hospice where Schiavo lingers on, the Rev. William Witt from Ohio, said this to the Post: "There's a cultural war going on."

So maybe Congress is coming back into emergency session to deal with the outbreak of war after all.

If supporting the culture

If supporting the "culture of life" in one case in Florida requires an emergency congressional session, then perhaps when John Bolton's nomination for ambassador to the U.N. comes up, Senators should ask him about his manifest contempt for human life outside out borders. After all, Bolton has consistently argued that the murder of innocents in strategically unimportant places like Bosnia, Kosova, and Africa, is not a concern of the United States, and should not be a concern of the U.N., either.

Sure, in every country the lives of their own are pre-eminent. But in an administration that trumpets its commitment to universal concepts of human rights, there should be something of a consistent policy towards the right to live of one person in Florida who subisides in a vegetative state, and the right to live of millions of fully living, thinking beings in places like Sudan.

In this particular case, there's no doubt what Jesus would do. And unless he eats crow and bends the knee, there's no doubt John Bolton has fatally defied the Culture of Life.

Like Harry Shearer I

Like Harry Shearer, I have been reluctant to wade into the Terri Schiavo case, given the comic-book biology and tabloid metaphysics that have dominated media treatment of this poor woman's fate.

But that was before Republicans called Congress into an emergency session this weekend to take jurisdiction over the case away from the Florida courts, and take control of Schiavo's body away from her husband.

During a long drive today, while trying to find a basketball broadcast on the boombox that provides radio in my very old car, I happened upon the voice of Tom DeLay pontificating on the Schiavo case, and it made me physically ill. His claim was that what's happening to Schiavo would be illegal if it happened to a dog.

The cynicism and hypocrisy of that line of reasoning is breathtaking, even coming from Tom DeLay. Untold tens of thousands of American families face the same agonizing decision--whether or not to continue mechanical life-support in terminal cases--every year. My own family faced it a few years ago. And very often, the issue is the same as in the Schiavo case: taking out the feeding tube, or continuing it indefinitely.

The only unique thing about this case, of course, is the extended legal battle between Shiavo's husband and parents, and the media notoriety that has made it so ripe for political opportunism.

Do DeLay, his supporters in Congress, and those Men of God so conspicuously on display down in Florida really propose to picket every intensive care unit, nursing home, and hospice in America to ensure that no family facing Schiavo's situation is allowed to let their loved one die? Is Congress really going to legislatively ban natural death so long as some theoretical means is available to continue it? Oh no, says James Sensenbrenner, chairman of the House Judiciary Committee, and DeLay's prime enabler in this weekend's grandstand play: the "emergency" legislation is "narrowly targeted" and not designed to set a precedent.

In other words, this is pure political exploitation of a private family conflict that's become a media sensation, even though it involves a very common, if, for the people involved, agonizing event.

As such, the GOP's Schiavo intervention is of a piece with other cynical efforts by Bush and his supporters to signal support for a "culture of life" without much regard for logic and consistency. It's a whole lot like the Bush position on human embryo research, as a matter of fact. Many thousands of human embryos are created each year in fertility clinics; it's only when it is proposed that these certain-to-be-discarded embryos be used for life-saving research that the Hammer comes down and Congress is asked to take a stand for life. Wouldn't want to inconvenience or embarass possible Republican voters utlilizing those fertility clinics, right?

But this time, I suspect the transparent cynicism of the we're-absolutists-on-life-if-it's-in-the-news posture of the GOP may backfire. It is very hard to pose as a pro-family, pro-states-rights, anti-Washington political party when you call Congress into an "emergency session" to interfere with the laws of Florida and the prerogatives of one poor husband trying to respect his wife's wishes. If, as we are told, George W. Bush is about to lend his authority and signature to this disgraceful exhibit of overweening government power, the persistant media idea that he's just a genial well-meaning man who happens to preside over a party of loony extremists and corrupt hacks needs to die a natural death.

Sometimes you run across

Sometimes you run across a presentation of conventional wisdom so pure, so well-framed, and so wrong, that you want to preserve it in amber and give it a special place in the Museum of Washington Folly. Today's David Brooks op-ed on what he calls the "Do-Nothing Conspiracy" in American politics is a real masterpiece of the genre.

Indeed, Brooks' offering today reflects a classic sub-genre: the Dover Beach column, wherein the writer, like a giant condor, soars above the grubby plain of politics and pronounces both sides ignorant armies clashing by night, even as the country (or in this case its fiscal condition) slips hellward.

For Brooks, the hellish reality is the rising cost of Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security (which, tellingly, he bundles as "the entitlements") and the boorish surreality is the partisan polarization of politicians who won't deal with the crisis.

This is hardly a new way of approaching this set of issues; hell, I wrote pretty much the same thing myself back in 1982 in a National Governors' Association paper (portentously entitled "December of Decision") about the dire implications of entitlement spending. But what's interesting and invidious about it is the way it lends a lofty, bipartisan tone to what is essentially a partisan line of argument.

How so? First there is the bundling of "entitlements," as though they are indistinguishable elements of the same "crisis." Social Security, of course, has a dedicated revenue source and significant if impaired pay-as-you-go features; Medicare is partly financed by general revenues, partly by premiums, and partly by payroll taxes. Both programs are federally administered and essentially uniform in benefits. But then you have Medicaid, which is a joint federal-state program financed by federal and state general revenues; its eligibility, coverage, and administrative features vary significantly from place to place; and its focus--on low-income families as well as seniors and the disabled--is significantly different from the other two big "entitlements."

And in fact, the Republican Party that's fanning the flames of panic over "entitlements" treats them very, very differently. Their aim is to simultaneously expand Medicare; contract Medicaid; and as we all know, fundamentally change Social Security from a defined-benefit to a defined-contribution retirement system.

But treating them as a single beast called "entitlements" allows Brooks to use scary numbers about the overall growth of three different programs to support the current GOP line that Bush's approach to Social Security is a statesmanlike effort to head off a "crisis."

Second, there is Brooks' implicit claim that the "entitlement crisis" is the source of an impending (and very real) fiscal crisis, while one of the primary causes, the GOP's endless appetite for tax cuts, is treated as a future problem--a partisan habit, like Democrats' desire for expanded government services, that it will have to forego in the national interest. Thus, the dramatic change in the size and structure of federal taxation built into our revenue system by Bush and his allies over the last four years is somehow part of the natural landscape, not something that should be reconsidered. And that is exactly the twisted point of view the GOP has gone to extraordinary lengths to promote.

And third, and perhaps most misleading, is Brooks' treament of "partisan polarization" as a development that has become an obstacle to "doing something" on the "crisis" of entitlement spending. See how the distortions build on each other? Never mind that "polarization" has been the deliberate political and legislative strategy of the Bush administration, with few exceptions, since early 2001. Never mind that the failure of the federal government to "do something" is attributable to the party that controls it lock, stock and barrel. And never mind that Brooks is embracing a definition of government activism that is entirely limited to the administration's current agenda. Up there in the sky, wheeling above Dover Beach, he can be evenhanded in assessing the motives of the two parties, even as he embraces one ignorant army's take on the situation in all its essentials.

Look, I am definitely not one of those people who despises, or even dislikes, David Brooks. He remains one of the funniest, and on occasions, most acute observers of big trends in the political landscape, especially in terms of cultural trends--traits that cover a multitude of sins. I have always felt the kind of sleight-of-hand at the heart of this and other Brooks columns represents a degree of self-deception from a man who invariably struggles to reconcile partisan loyalties with an inability to forthrightly embrace "his side's" ideological shibboleths. And while I have no doubt the GOP is responsible for the current atmosphere of polarization in American politics, I also strongly believe Democrats need a strategy that goes beyond simple counter-polarization.

But that emphatically doesn't mean accepting a conventional wisdom that treats every Republican-driven change in the policy or political playing field as immutable, and blasts Democrats for "doing nothing" when they fail to cooperate with the the next item on the GOP's extremist version of the national agenda. That way lies true ignorance, and endless clashes by night.

With a big six

With a big six months of blogging behind me, I'm in relative terms a real veteran at this stuff, but still, guesting Josh's site makes me feel like those kids in Hoosiers who are a bit in awe of their environs when they get to the State Finals. Adding to the intimidation is the ultimate Hard Act to Follow: previous guest-blogger Harry Shearer, one of my idols. I have long thought that every blogger should keep handy near the keyboard a copy of Derek Smalls' admonition to rock 'n' rollers in This is Spinal Tap: "There's a fine line between clever and stupid."

I'll get down to business shortly.

This is just a

This is just a brief note from Josh. Tomorrow is The Big Day. So you probably won't hear from me again until Tuesday. I wanted to take a moment to send a very big thanks to Jon Chait and Harry Shearer for manning the helm in my absence. I'm honored and gratified more than you can know that both of them agreed to take time from their busy schedules for this.

Let me also send a sincere note of appreciation to everyone who's sent in email best wishes in the last few days. Each and every one means a great deal to us.

Ed Kilgore will be signing on Saturday morning and sticking around through Monday.

Back from the gig

Back from the gig, and what a pleasant surprise to find at least two people there who came solely because of the side-of-the-mouth mention here. Josh, this thing has reach!

Still amazed that the most reaction to anything I posted came in response to my suggesting that Hunter S. Thompson was the model for the type of political rant now practiced by, among others, Ann Coulter. HST has a lot of supporters out there.

Don't think I will ever have a blog of my own, the burden seems too great for somebody who still wants to play, and watch, basketball for a good portion of the day. But I will be surfacing in a blog-related context fairly soon. Hmmm...mysterious. Thanks to you for reading, and thanks to Josh for getting married. Be well.