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Is That Really What It Shows?

Let me start this post with a bundle of qualifiers. The NYT's Upshot is a great new data/explainer journalism project. I'm jealous (but don't count us out in this game yet.) I'm a big fan of Nate Cohn. And I think the point of his article here - that the efflorescence of partisan polls is creating a serious challenge for poll aggregation - is right on the mark. It's actually been something we've been trying to think through in our own approach to poll aggregation and averaging at PollTracker. But let me show you this one collection of data about the Arkansas Senate race because I think something doesn't quite add up.

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