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Time Trump Advisor Had Advance Word?

John Podesta says he has what he calls "circumstantial" evidence that top Trump advisor Roger Stone had advance word of the hacking his email. But he points to a late August tweet that does seem like Stone had advance word that Podesta was the next target of an attack. Remember, Stone has already said - true or not - that he is in communication with Julian Assange. Wikileaks is the go-to distribution hub for emails stolen by Russian security services. Why the tweet.

Getting Violent

I suspect we're about to see a lot more of this. Trump supporter Todd Warnken, 55, was asked to leave a ShopRite in Albany for "being disruptive inside." On the way out he encountered a black woman waiting for a taxi. He called her a racial slur and threatened to attack her: "Trump is going to win and if you don't like it I'm going to beat your ass," he yelled, according to Smith."

10/12 Election Update

It's October 12 and the PollTracker Average stands at Clinton 48.1%, Trump 39.7, a 8.4 percentage point spread.

The TPM Electoral Scoreboard stands at Clinton 341, Trump 186. Only Arizona is in the Toss Up category.

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Lots of polls. So numbers may change through the day.

Facing the Abuser's Rage

As I mentioned in my earlier post, I was in meetings in Washington for most of the day. So I checked my iPhone here and there and got a few minutes poking around on my laptop. But I saw most of the day only at a distance - enough to see that the full conflagration had finally broken out but not enough to see the details.

It's hard to know quite what to say because in some ways this is the most obvious thing in the world. We've known all along that something like this could happen, indeed that it was likely to happen. As long as Trump seemed likely to win or to have a plausible chance to win, most everyone in the GOP would be happy and go along. The fact that they were happy is profoundly troubling. But that's another story. As long as Trump seemed likely to lose without making too much of a mess that was something the party machinery could tolerate. But when things started to go badly things were likely to go bad fast - even more if something extremely toxic was revealed about Trump.

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I spent most of the morning off line in meetings. I came back online about twenty minutes ago to see that we've got a new Khan family. And it's the GOP!

You built this, guys.

Free fall

Polls seldom show actual free fall. But this looks a bit like free fall.

The Russia Channel

Newsweek's Kurt Eichenwald has a fascinating little piece out overnight about a telling goof in the Russian propaganda channel that has played such a role in the 2016 election.

It's a rather convoluted story - not the article but what actually happened. So let me try to summarize it briefly. We have another of those apparently Russian-sourced email thefts which ended up on Wikileaks - this time emails from Clinton campaign chair John Podesta. In those emails there's an email from Clinton confidante Sid Blumenthal in which he appends an article by Eichenwald himself about Benghazi and other matters. When the Russia-state owned news and propaganda outlet Sputniknews got a hold of it they apparently got confused - intentionally or not - and ascribed Eichenwald's copy to Blumenthal.

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And After 48 Hours, It's Over

It's just like it was in the Spring when the GOP party apparatus devised feverish plans to deny Donald Trump the nomination at the convention and then caved without a fight. The great GOP disengagement from Donald Trump, after the emergence of a video in which Trump bragged about assaulting a women, is over after little more than 48 hours.

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