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Who Leads IL-SEN? Depends How Many Candidates Are Involved


The Two-Way: Giannoulias vs. Kirk

When only Giannoulias and Kirk are involved, the TPM Poll Average gives the edge to Giannoulias, 42.4-41.8:

The Three-Way: Giannoulias vs. Kirk vs. Jones

When Jones is added to the mix, Kirk gets the edge in the TPM Poll Average, 44.6-42.0-4.8:

The Four-Way: Giannoulias vs. Kirk vs. Jones vs. Labno:

With all four candidates, the TPM Poll Average swings once again to Giannoulias, who barely leads over Kirk 40.4-39.7. Jones comes in at 5.0, with Labno at 3.6:

About The Author


Eric Lach is a reporter for TPM. From 2010 to 2011, he was a news writer in charge of the website?s front page. He has previously written for The Daily,, GlobalPost and other publications. He can be reached at