In it, but not of it. TPM DC

The Latest Dirt From NY-20

• NRCC spokesman Ken Spain put out this statement in response to the Dem projections -- a further example of how both sides are spinning the 50-50 result as a true victory for themselves: "It appears - by accident - that Democrats are finally admitting that the Republican registration numbers are a misleading indicator of the district's inherent Democratic lean. According to their own 'model' they have either been deliberately offering up false statements claiming that the party registration favors Republicans or these numbers simply aren't based in fact."

• The absentee ballots that came in as of last night -- and there's still time for more to arrive in the mail -- showed a plurality of registered Republicans. Then again, the district itself has a huge advantage in Republican registration, but Democrats have been winning recently because of big margins among independent voters. So we'll see what happens.

• Everyone's favorite RNC chairman, Michael Steele, has a column in the Politico predicting a Tedisco victory -- and declaring this a repudiation of President Obama's big-spending agenda: "Well, the voters have spoken, and while the results are still pending, Republicans are confident that the final vote tallies will show those voters have rejected the president's approach."