Rothenberg Political Report
the Arkansas race for Sen. Blanche Lincoln's (D) seat to "leans takeover."
"Given the bent of Independent voters (in the recent Massachusetts special election but also in national surveys), we are increasingly doubtful that the Arkansas Democratic Senator can win another term. Of course, much depends on the eventual GOP challenger and how the economy behaves over the next nine months," Rothenberg writes.
"The burden of proof has shifted in our minds, from requiring Republicans to prove that they can defeat Lincoln to requiring Lincoln to show she can win reelection."
The Report does not mention a possible Democratic primary challenge. TPMDC reported this morning
that progressives, including MoveOn and the SEIU, are hoping to draft a challenger for Lincoln.