The new Rasmussen poll of the Colorado gubernatorial race shows Democratic Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper ahead, aided by a split conservative vote between Republican businessman Dan Maes and Constitution Party candidate Tom Tancredo, a famously anti-illegal immigration ex-Republican Congressman.
The numbers: Hickenlooper 43%, Maes 31%, and Tancredo 18%. The survey of likely voters has a ±4% margin of error. In the previous poll from earlier this month, before Tuesday’s primary, Hickenlooper led Maes and Tancredo by 42%-27%-24%. So it appears that Maes could be getting a slight bump from his primary win, but is still being kneecapped by Tancredo.
From the pollster’s analysis: “Hickenlooper’s level of support has been fairly steady for months, but he has clearly benefitted from Tancredo’s entry in the race which splits the Republican vote. The Democrat had run roughly even with Maes in two earlier surveys.”
The TPM Poll Average gives Hickenlooper a lead of 44.8%-26.3%-22.0%.
