In it, but not of it. TPM DC
The poll also estimates that 60% of the total likely voters have already cast their ballots early. Among this group, Reid leads Angle by 50%-46%, but keep in mind that this would be within the greater margin of error for a sub-group.
PPP's Tom Jensen writes:
Democratic voters in Nevada really hold Reid's fate in their hands by whether they show up at the polls tomorrow or not. Angle's 1 point lead is built on an electorate that supported Barack Obama by only 4 points in 2008, in contrast to his actual 12 point victory in the state. That means a lot of Democratic leaning voters aren't planning to vote tomorrow and if even a small percentage of them can be rousted out of complacency to go vote for Reid it might be enough to put him over the top.
The TPM Poll Average gives Angle a lead of 49.7%-46.6%.