In it, but not of it. TPM DC
PPP's Tom Jensen notes Walker's unpopularity, but offers this analysis about a possible inherent difficulty of recalls: "But I think there's a certain segment of voters in Wisconsin -- somewhere around 10% of the population -- that is generally opposed to the concept of recalls regardless of how they feel about how things are going in the state. We've seen that in the State Senate recalls so far- the polls have universally moved in the closing days in favor of the incumbents, both Democratic and Republican. When folks get off the fence they're tending to vote anti-recall."
As for those horse-races, Feingold -- who lost his senate re-election bid in the 2010 Republican wave -- leads Walker by 52%-45%, roughly corresponding to Walker's approval and disapproval ratings. In the poll from May, Feingold led by a slightly wider 52%-42% (also corresponding to Walker's 43%-54% approval ratings in that poll).
Other hypothetical candidates were tested, as well. Walker's 2010 Democratic opponent, Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, edges Walker by just 48%-47%, compared to 50%-43% Barrett lead in the last poll. Former Rep. David Obey trails Walker by 47%-44%, and Rep. Ron Kind trails Walker by 46%-43%. (Obey and Kind were not tested in the previous poll.)
The poll also asked: "Were you happy or unhappy with the results of
Tuesday's State Senate recall elections?" The result was 43% happy, 39% unhappy, and 18% undecided. As can be expected, Republicans were overwhelmingly happy with the results and the GOP's narrow survival -- the Dems gained two seats, just short of the magic three -- Democrats are largely unhappy, and independents correspond closely to the top-lines.