A new Monmouth University poll of the New Jersey gubernatorial race underscores the big problem that Democrats are facing in this blue state: A lack of motivation for their own voters, compared to an energized GOP base.
Among likely voters, Republican former U.S. Attorney Chris Christie leads with 47% against Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine’s 39%, plus 5% for independent candidate Chris Daggett.
Among the larger pool of registered voters, however, it’s Corzine who edges ahead: Corzine 41%, Christie 40%, Daggett 6%.
From the pollster’s analysis: “At this point, the likely voter result is our best estimate of where the dynamics of this race stand at this time. We provide the registered voter results in the interest of furthering our understanding of the entire New Jersey electorate’s concerns and motivations. The bottom line is that turnout always matters. It just may matter more in this election than usual.”
