In it, but not of it. TPM DC

Poll: Paul Ahead By Five In KY-SEN


Today's poll shows that strategy may be working -- but the boost for Paul among likely voters shows that he still carries the more motivated base. Conway, like other Democrats running this year, will have to energize less-than-enthused Democrats if he wants to beat a Republican like Paul who has the backing of the super-duper motivated tea party.

The TPM Poll Average for the race shows Paul ahead 45.2-40.8.

The new Reuters survey of 600 registered voters was conducted by Ipsos Aug. 13-15 and has a margin of error of 4%. The subsample of 435 likely voters has a margin of error of 4.7%.