The new survey of Delaware by Public Policy Polling (D) shows Republican Congressman Mike Castle ahead in the 2010 race for Vice President Biden’s former Senate seat, against likely Dem candidate (and Biden son) state Attorney General Beau Biden — but not by much.
The numbers: Castle 45%, Biden 39%, with a ±4.1% margin of error. This is nearly the same as the last PPP survey of this race from way back in March, which put Castle ahead by 44%-36%.
From the pollster’s analysis: “There had been some speculation about whether Castle’s vote against the health care bill in the House last month would hurt his prospects but 46% of voters say they’re opposed to the plan with only 43% in support, an indication that Castle may have actually been on the right side of public opinion on that particular issue.”
Interestingly a poll from a few weeks ago by Republican firm Susquehanna put Biden ahead by 45%-40%. So we have the novel situation of a Dem pollster saying the Republican candidate is ahead, and a GOP pollster saying the Dem is ahead.
