A new Civitas poll of the North Carolina Senate race finds incumbent Republican Sen. Richard Burr ahead with a 44%-37% lead over North Carolina Democratic Secretary of State Elaine Marshall.
“Burr continues to maintain a solid lead over Marshall despite the recent TV ads attacking his record,” writes Civitas analyst Chris Hayes. “With Marshall having very little cross-over appeal to Republicans, her standing with the unaffiliated voter will play a key role come Election Day.”
Civitas’s numbers are pretty much in line with other recent polling of the race — a SurveyUSA poll from July 11 gave Burr a ten-point lead — but they run counter to an internal poll released last Friday by the Marshall camp. That internal poll showed Marshall slightly ahead, 37%-35%.
The TPM Poll Average of the race shows Burr leading Marshall 47.9%-39.9%. The margin of error for the latest Civitas survey is ±4.0 percentage points.