A new survey of Arkansas from Public Policy Polling (D) finds that Sen. Blanche Lincoln, a key centrist Democrat, could be in serious danger going into 2010 — with her running in dead heats with three essentially unknown Republicans.
The numbers: State Senate Minority Leader Gilbert Baker edges out Lincoln by 42%-40%; businessman Curtis Coleman leads her by 41%-40%; and Lincoln edges Afghanistan War veteran Tom Cotton by 40%-39%. All of these results are within the ±3.5% margin of error.
In addition, none of the Republicans have favorable ratings in the double digits, and the percentage of respondents who have no opinion is about 80% in all cases. So this is essentially Lincoln against generic Republicans.
From the pollster’s analysis: “You couldn’t get a clearer indication that the national momentum is with Republicans right now than a poll showing some guys with single digit name recognition running even with an incumbent Senator.”
