In it, but not of it. TPM DC

Poll: Dem And Conservative In Tight Race For NY-23, GOPer In Third


So if Scozzafava is in third, who is she taking more votes from? Greenberg told us that there's no clear verdict on that question:

It is conjecture at this point as to which of the two other candidates current Scozzafava voters would support were she not to be in the race, or were they to decide that she couldn't win and wanted to use their vote to help pick the winner. Scozzafava's current supporters give Owens a 19-50 unfavorable rating and an only slightly worse 15-57 unfavorable rating for Hoffman.

I think it's important to remember that the vast majority of her current support comes from voters in the counties she currently represents in the State Assembly, thus the voters who know her the best.