In it, but not of it. TPM DC

Poll: Blumenthal Already Way Ahead Of Connecticut GOP Senate Candidates


PPP also tested second-term Rep. Chris Murphy as a potential Democratic candidate. This is purely a hypothetical issue now that Blumenthal will likely be the Democratic nominee, but Murphy also would have led the GOPers, albeit by lesser margins due to his low statewide name recognition. Murphy leads Simmons by 42%-35%, McMahon by 43%-36%, and Schiff by 44%-28%.

This poll was conducted before the retirement news itself, and before Blumenthal got into the race. While in theory Blumenthal's numbers could change due to the switch from being a hypothetical candidate to an actual candidate open to public scrutiny, it's still very clear that he's an unambiguous step up from Dodd in terms of electability. The seat should now be considered a likely Democratic hold.