The new CNN poll of the Kentucky Senate race gives Republican Rand Paul a seven-point lead over Democrat Jack Conway among likely voters.
The numbers: Paul 50%, Conway 43%. The survey of likely voters has a ±3.5% margin of error.
The previous poll from early September did not have a comparable likely-voter sample, but had Paul and Conway tied 46%-46% among a wider filter of registered voters. In this latest poll, Paul leads 46%-44% among registered voters.
The TPM Poll Average gives Paul a lead of 48.9%-42.7%.