TPM Editor’s Blog

The Record, the Numbers

So PollTracker. How’d we do? Pretty damn well.

PollTacker accurately predicted the results in 49 of 50 states last night. The one exception was Florida. The final PollTracker Average was Romney +1.2. Though it hasn’t been called yet, it’s pretty clear President Obama will take the state with something between a .5% and 1% margin.

On the Senate side PollTracker did even better. PollTracker accurately predicted every Senate race in the country. The only half-miss was North Dakota. The final PollTracker Average of the Heitkamp v. Berg race was an exact tie. And I mean, exact: 46% to 46%. Not even a difference on the decimal point.

Josh Marshall

Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.

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