As I’ve mentioned a couple times now, it’s been a cardinal doctrine of the Romney campaign that the Republican convention was the break out moment. We can be pretty certain now that didn’t happen. Obama’s bounce could evaporate. But Romney didn’t get a game-changing moment.
That leaves the debates as the big lever of change. But Romney just isn’t that strong a debater. At least not someone I’d see having a breakout there. If things stay where there are now for the next month, expect Romney to make some high stakes moves in those three encounters.
But what’s left? Vast and possibly unlimited (what’s to stop Koch and Adelson from jumping in with another $250 million?) SuperPac money. That may end up as the last potential game changer. And we have very little experience or data on what that sort of spending can do concentrated at the end of a presidential run.
Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.