As of this moment, we have 37% of the precincts reporting. And Santorum is up by 3.2%. That’s just shy 17,000 votes. But what’s left in the remaining 63% of precincts. The key is that what’s to come is almost certainly better for Mitt than what we’ve seen so far, mainly becomes a lot of Republican-leaning suburbs are lagging behind the vote count. But is it enough? Nate Silver seems to think it may not be and that Santorum — based on all the data before us right now — is the slight favorite. That sounds right to me, especially because Nate seems to think so too.
Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.