As noted below, Public Policy Polling is showing a much bigger advantage for Doug Hoffman in the NY-23 special election than two other key pollsters tracking the race. And the difference seems tied to PPP’s assumptions of a much more Republican electorate than the other outfits are expecting.
Those assumptions seem to apply as well to the NJ-Gov race. PPP is out tonight with a final survey of this race. And they show Christie 47%, Corzine 41%, a substantial margin compared to pretty much every other pollster who has looked at this race over the last couple weeks.
There’s little doubt there will be a number of final polls of this race out tomorrow. So we’ll have a better sense of whether PPP is an outlier (and remember, outliers can be right) or whether there’s a broader trend of momentum back in Christie’s favor.
