I will not even try to explain the arguments or the data. But public opinion and polling expert Professor Charles Franklin, a Professor at the University of Wisconsin, has posted a fascinating analysis of a ton of recent polling data on health care reform. And the upshot is that contrary to what I would imagine most of our expectations would be, the decline in support for reform began slowing in August and has now basically stopped. Meanwhile, support for reform firmed up and started to grow at around the same time. In other words, the inflection point seems to have been during the heat of the townhall craziness, and in advance of the presidential speech.
If he’s right, the history of August was very different from what we thought. This is a very interesting read.
Josh Marshall is editor and publisher of TalkingPointsMemo.com.