With 89% of the votes counted in Louisiana, it's 43% Huck and 42% for McCain; in Washington state, with 78% reporting, it's McCain up over Huckabee by 25% to 24%.

McCain will do himself a real favor if he can come from behind in both states and make Kansas the fluke of the day. But the larger picture will not, I think, be that much different.

Late Update: With 98% of the vote counted, it looks pretty clear that Huckabee's going to come in first in Louisiana. In Washington state, the state party site has been lagging so bad we're half wondering if they just can't bring themselves to report a Huck win. Huckabee led for most of the evening. But McCain pulled one point ahead with 78% of caucuses reporting.