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10.21.04 -- 2:16PM
By Josh Marshall

Now, that's more like it. AP/IPSOS has Kerry over Bush 49% to 46% among likely voters.

That's within the margin of error. But almost every poll is within the margin these days. And that comes on the heels of dead-even readings among likely voters from NBC/WSJ and Pew in the last couple days.

Zogby does have Bush wobbling back to a one point lead today. And the Post still has Bush with a three point spread.

But on balance there seems to be at least a mild drift in Kerry's direction over this last week.

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