06.28.2016 - 12:05 AM EDT

For all the ups and downs, look at this chart to see the basic stability of the presidential race.

06.27.2016 - 10:20 PM EDT

Perhaps I'm late to this story, what with so much else going on. But apparently just recently Donald Trump accept Jesus as his savior and is now a born-again Christian.

This is what Dr. James Dobson is telling fellow evangelicals. And it is apparently what Trump told him. Dobson even knows the businessman who recently led Trump to Christ. And it all came out at that big evangelical shindig Trump held a week ago in New York City.

Said Dobson:

He did accept a relationship with Christ. I know the person who led him to Christ. That's fairly recent.

06.27.2016 - 1:16 PM EDT

Today's Supreme Court decision on abortion suddenly puts abortion restrictions in a bunch of other states in potential legal jeopardy. Here's the rundown.

06.24.2016 - 5:19 PM EDT

I hadn't taken Obama's statement that a post-EU UK would have to go 'to the back of the line' for trade negotiations that seriously. I'd seen it as more a nudge to ward off any expectation that trade relations with the US would be instantly restored on some crash course negotiation. But the possibility of the break-up of the UK itself (which seems like a very real possibility to me over the 4 to 5 year time horizon) hadn't occurred to me as a drag on potential negotiations.

Overall, I liked your post about Brexit. I will have to say though that I'm doubtful the US will make a deal with the UK outside the EU a priority.

06.24.2016 - 1:51 PM EDT

We are told we are entering a period of economic nationalism and right wing populism. We see it in the UK with Brexit, in the USA with Trumpism and in other nations and regions with their own unique inflections. From others we hear this is simply a tantrum or irrationality, perhaps a generalized breakdown of trust in elites. These are each true to a degree. But I think they are each also quite misleading. I see a very different or much more specific pattern in the country whose politics I know best, the USA, and the demographics and the voting parallels seem evident enough in Britain as well.

06.24.2016 - 11:55 AM EDT

One source of comic relief this morning is watching American conservatives take a Brexit victory lap. They feel and sometimes say explicitly that leaving the EU is Britain ticket to reemerging as a great power. As I noted below, it's far more likely that Brexit is Britain's ticket to reemerging as England. But that's another matter.

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