12.14.2017 - 5:41 PM EDT

In recognition of a truly landmark year of stunning scandals and betrayals of the public trust, it’s time to unveil TPM’s nominees for the 11th Annual Golden Dukes!

These awards are named in honor of former Rep. Randy “Duke” Cunningham, whose enormous bribery schemes made him the poster boy for modern scandal (well, for now). Every year, we select the most outrageous moments of corruption and general dipshittery in this fine nation’s political arena to see who has raised the bar for utter shamelessness.

Last year, we said 2016 would make Duke proud. This year, he may have actually found his heroes.

Our esteemed judges have the challenge of deciding each category’s “winner,” and we’ll publish their picks on December 31st.

This year’s categories:

Best Scandal — General Interest

Best Scandal — Local Venue

Meritorious Achievement In The Crazy

Most Heartwarming On-The-Record Quote From A Trump Associate

Literary Achievement in 140 Characters (or Instagram) By A Public Official

Best Shameless Cartoon Villain Move By An Administration Official

Best Moment From A Press Conference

Meet our judges:

Erin Ryan, senior editor at the Daily Beast

Katherine Krueger, politics writer-editor at Splinter and TPM alum

Simon Maloy, senior writer at Media Matters

Susie Bright, feminist sex columnist and author

Krang Nelson, Vice contributor and Weird Twitter icon

AND THE NOMINEES, AS SUGGESTED BY TPM READERS AND STAFF, ARE…

Best Scandal — General Interest

James Comey Firing: Trump’s firing of the former FBI director in May had the White House scrambling to contain backlash it somehow didn’t anticipate. The firing landed with all the hallmarks that are central to the Trump admin: mass confusion, tone deafness and incorrect assumptions about the way D.C. operates. Trump at first dispatched aides and top Justice Department officials to say the dismissal stemmed purely from Comey’s controversial handling of Hillary Clinton’s email scandal. Days later, Trump let slip to NBC that this whole annoying “Russia thing” prompted his decision. The chaos boiled down to logistics with Comey reportedly first finding out the bad news on TV screens and canceling a speaking engagement as news choppers chased him down an LA highway.

Tom Price Resignation: Former Health and Human Services Secretary Tom Price resigned in September after the hefty price tag for his jet-happy habits was uncovered. Politico found that he racked up a total of more than $1 million in private and military flights on taxpayers’ dime. Price pledged to pay for his transgression—but only some $50,000, the cost of his seat on those trips. Price thought he had the President’s confidence as a number of probes were launched into the private travel, but Trump hung Price out to dry as questions swirled about the jet-setting practices of other admin officials like Interior Secretary Zinke and EPA head Scott Pruitt.

Roy Moore’s Alabama Senate Run: In a saner world, a Senate race between a racist alleged pedophile twice kicked off the Alabama Supreme Court and a man who prosecuted the KKK would be a no-brainer. But hey, it’s 2017. Despite his past ties to neo-Confederate and white nationalist groups—plus his known homophobic, anti-Semitic and Islamophobic views—Roy Moore was considered a shoe-in until multiple women came forward with allegations that he sexually assaulted them when they were teenagers. The scandal split the GOP into pro- and anti-Moore factions until Doug Jones eked out a narrow win, bringing Alabama its first Democratic senator in 25 years. But Moore’s not a complete loser in this race—images of the wannabe senator riding his horse, Sassy, to the polls, will provide the Internet with meme fodder for a lifetime.

Michael Flynn’s Turkey Dealings: The extremely short-lived National Security Advisor’s scandals were just beginning when he resigned in March over reportedly made false statements about his communications with Russia’s ambassador to the U.S. As we later learned, Flynn also worked as a foreign agent for Turkey during and after the 2016 election, allegedly involving himself in a plot to kidnap an extradited Muslim cleric and fly him to an island prison in Turkey in return for $15 million. These are just a few of the kind of mind-bogglingly sketchy foreign dealings that forced Flynn to agree to cooperate with Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation.

Rep. Trent Franks’ Surrogacy Disaster: Talk about a modern-day Handmaid’s Tale. The Arizona congressman initially announced he would resign in Jan. 2018 after learning that the House Ethics Committee planned a review of a “discussion of surrogacy” Franks said he had with “two previous female subordinates.” But Franks hit the gas pedal on his departure after reports came out detailing how he asked aides to have intercourse with him and serve as surrogates for his and his wife’s children.

Best Scandal — Local Venue

Whitefish’s Fish Puerto Rico Contract: Two-year-old, two-employee-strong Montana utility company Whitefish Energy Holdings raised eyebrows when it won a $300 million contract to help restore Puerto Rico’s electrical grid after Hurricane Maria. As it turned out, the firm happened to be based in Secretary Zinke’s hometown and its general partner maxed out donations to the Trump primary and general election campaigns. FEMA expressed “significant concerns” over the deal even as Zinke denied having anything to do with it. Just five days after the contract was announced, Puerto Rico said it was scrapping the deal for “negatively impacting the work” already being done.

Gianforte Bodyslams Reporter: Nowadays, the concept of politicians wrestling with journalists extends beyond the written or even spoken word. The day before a special election in Montana to fill its lone U.S. House seat, then-candidate Greg Gianforte “bodyslammed” Guardian reporter Ben Jacobs for the outrage of…asking about the House GOP’s health care bill. Gianforte then lied about the incident, placing the blame on Jacobs, until the reporter’s audiotape of the encounter was made public. Montana voters were undeterred, electing him to the House the following evening.

Alabama Gov’s Sexy Talk: Ex-Alabama Gov. Robert Bentley’s personal Watergate cost him not only his 50-year marriage, but his political office. The governor’s downfall began in 2015 when his wife filed for divorce after finding incriminating text messages and phone recordings between the then-governor and his top political advisor (“Bless our hearts…and other parts”, anyone?). Trouble followed Bentley into this year when in April the Alabama Ethics Commission found probable cause that the then-governor violated both ethics and campaign finance laws to carry out and conceal the extramarital affair. Bentley resigned hours after pleading guilty to two misdemeanor crimes, and as part of a plea deal, agreed to accept a lifetime ban from ever seeking public office in Alabama again.

Cy Vance’s Questionable Attitude Toward Donors: The Manhattan district attorney seems to have a habit of letting thoroughly-disliked high profile figures off the hook—if they have the bank account for it. In 2013, Cy Vance—up for re-election—overruled his own prosecutors in dropping a criminal probe of Ivanka and Trump Jr. for misleading potential buyers of Trump SoHo condos after accepting—and returning—a $25,000 contribution from Donald Trump’s personal attorney Marc Kasowitz. Just two years later, money talked again to Vance when he decided to shut down a groping investigation into Harvey Weinstein. Vance’s campaign records show his donor list includes his former private-practice law partner, Elkan Abramowitz, who was hired by Weinstein in 2015 to successfully fend off a molestation allegation.

Convicted Ex-Rep Jumps Onto The #MAGA Train: All aboard! Disgraced Staten Island congressman and convicted felon Michael Grimm hitched onto the #MAGA train to usher in his comeback tour. Grimm, who is best known for threatening to throw a NY1 reporter off a balcony and serving a seven-month stint in prison for tax evasion, apparently fit the bill of anti-establishment anger so well that he earned a thumbs up from #MAGA conductor Steve Bannon in his efforts to retake his seat representing New York’s 11th District. Heading into the 2018 race, Grimm has gathered more Trump allies, including former 2016 campaign adviser Michael Caputo, to his side.

Meritorious Achievement In The Crazy

Hannity’s Anti-Keurig Crusade: There are probably few things more American than finding ways to protest via consumerism. Soon after Keurig announced it was pulling ads from Hannity’s show over his coverage of sexual misconduct allegations against Alabama Republican Senate candidate Roy Moore, diehard fans began posting videos of themselves smashing their coffee makers. Hannity cheered on the destruction, but urged fans to leave their Keurigs intact after the company’s CEO said it was “unacceptable” for the social media team to broadcast the company’s decision to yank ads. The Hannity-Keurig saga concluded with the Fox News host giving away 500 Keurig machines to fans who “look forward to enjoying a nice cup of apolitical Joe.”

Ryan Zinke’s General Weirdness: How has Trump not nicknamed his Interior secretary “Zany Zinke” by now? When he’s not busy carving out exceptions for shrinking national monuments for his home state of Montana or trying to justify his taxpayer-funded private plane travel, Zinke can be found advocating for a redesign of the Interior’s flag, having a special flag raised when he’s at the department’s headquarters, demanding special coins with his name on them, increasing admission prices at “highly visited” national parks, and redecorating his office with taxidermied animals.

Trump’s Puerto Rico Trip: Trump set the stage for his post-Hurricane Maria trip to Puerto Rico by attacking San Juan Mayor Carmen Yulín Cruz on Twitter for criticizing his administration’s characterization of relief efforts as “a good news story.” During his visit to the hurricane-ravaged territory, the President told survivors to “have a good time” and tossed rolls of paper towels into a crowd of “great people” with “a lot of love.” Staying focused on what matters, Trump chastised Puerto Rico for throwing “our budget a little out of whack” and said residents should be “very proud” that the death toll at the time of his visit was below that of Hurricane Katrina.

Project Veritas’ WaPo Sting Fail: After the Washington Post broke the first allegation of Alabama Republican Roy Moore preying on teenage girls, fake news factory Project Veritas attempted to discredit the news outlet via one of their “sting” operations. An undercover operative claimed Moore impregnated her and forced her into an abortion when she was 15. Diligent reporting from the Post team swiftly proved that the woman pressing them to publish bogus allegations was a plant. (She could’ve at least deleted the GoFundMe page to support her work in the conservative media!)

Farenthold Threatening GOP Senator With Gun Duel: GOP infighting has just about escalated into a Western-style showdown. Texas Rep. Blake Farenthold was quick to point a finger at Republican women, specifically Sen. Maine Collins (R-ME), over the GOP’s failure to repeal Obamacare. Lashing out at “some female senators from the Northeast,” Farenthold suggested that if a man from his state were blocking the bill, he might ask him to “step outside and settle this Aaron Burr style.” He’s due to depart Congress soon after facing a slew of sexual misconduct and verbal harassment allegations from former staffers.

Most Heartwarming On-The-Record Quote From A Trump Associate

“I’m not Steve Bannon, I’m not trying to suck my own cock.” – Anthony Scaramucci, former White House communications director

Who could forget the iconic, utterly off-the-rails New Yorker interview in which (since fired) communications director Scaramucci ranted about (also fired) White House chief strategist Steve Bannon’s allegedly impressive attempts at self-pleasure? Scaramucci then lashed out at reporter Ryan Lizza for publishing his on-the-record comments because the man hired to manage the White House’s media response apparently had no grasp of the basic principles of journalism. The interview cemented the Mooch’s status as one of the White House’s most memorable staffers, though it also prompted his termination after only 10 days on the job.

“If being complicit is wanting to – is wanting to be a force for good and to make a positive impact, then I’m complicit.” – Ivanka Trump, senior White House advisor and daughter to the President

Once seen as a small beacon of hope for progressives looking desperately for a neutralizing force in Donald Trump’s White House, Ivanka Trump soon proved perfectly willing to go along with Dad’s far-right agenda. Critics slammed the First Daughter as “complicit,” a term she tried to address in a CBS interview. Unfortunately, Ivanka didn’t have a firm grasp on the definition of the word, leading her to declare on live television that she was, in fact, definitely complicit with the President’s incendiary actions and remarks. Fun fact: “Complicit” was named Dictionary.com’s Word of the Year for 2017.

“Deport the whole family.” – Kris Kobach, Kansas Secretary of State and vice chair of Trump’s shady voter fraud panel

Trump’s announcement that he was rescinding Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) left thousands of young undocumented immigrants suddenly facing deportation to countries they hadn’t stepped foot in since childhood. Taking a quick break from whatever Breitbart column he was writing, Kobach promptly went on CNN to express his delight and suggest that the whole family get the boot, too. Don’t try to come at him with any talk of “compassion” because Kobach is very serious about adhering to the laws of this nation (unless those laws allow certain voters to actually cast votes).

“I bet it’s brand new information to people that President Obama had a six-month ban on the Iraqi refugee program after two Iraqis came here to this country, they were radicalized, and they were the masterminds behind the Bowling Green massacre.” – Kellyanne Conway

Please take a moment of silence to remember the (nonexistent) victims of the (fictional) Bowling Green massacre who died at the hands of (imaginary) radicalized Iraqis. Conway, indignant at how the media totally ignored a massacre that never happened, brought it up during a spirited on-air defense of Trump’s travel ban. #Neverforget the hypothetical horrors of Bowling Green. Anyway, let’s ban Muslims.

“On behalf of the entire senior staff around you, Mr. President, we thank you for the opportunity and the blessing that you’ve given us to serve your agenda and the American people.” – Reince Priebus, former White House chief of staff

During Trump’s first full Cabinet meeting, a totally normal thing happened where the agency chiefs went around in a circle of adoration to shower the President with glowing praise. None could compare to Priebus, who sadly only experienced six months of “opportunity” and “blessing” serving the radiant Donald J. Trump before losing his job. No hard feelings though; Priebus even thanked his saintly former boss after his less-than-dignified ouster, saying it was “actually a good thing” for the administration.

Literary Achievement In 140 Characters (Or Instagram) By A Public Figure

Don Jr. Doxxing Himself

After several days of insisting that his June 2016 meeting with a Kremlin-linked lawyer was just about adoption, Don Jr. was informed that the New York Times was about to publish his emails on the meeting. Realizing that those messages would poke more than a few holes in his story, the eldest Trump son beat the Times to the punch and just…tweeted out the emails himself in the name of “transparency.” Oh, Junior.

Mnuchin’s Wife’s Instagram Beef

Louise Linton, actress and wife of billionaire Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, posted an Instagram photo of the pair stepping off a government jet during a jaunt to Kentucky that just happened to coincide with the solar eclipse. Linton adorned the post with hashtags for the high-end fashion brands she was wearing, in case her followers had forgotten that they’re very rich. When a commenter snarked about their questionable use of taxpayer funds for the trip, Linton went nuclear, calling the commenter “out of touch” and asking if she had “given more to the economy than me and my husband.” The Marie Antoinette-esque sneers were not well received, and Linton was forced to apologize for her “highly insensitive” comments. Subsequent photos of her and Mnuchin posing with freshly-printed $1 bills at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing did little to rehab her image.

Covfefe

Early one morning, Trump whipped out his phone, ready to let loose on the “crooked” media yet again. He tweeted, “Despite the constant negative press covfefe”…and that was it, leaving the world to wonder if POTUS had had some kind of stroke. The tweet was left up for several hours until he deleted and replaced it with a bizarrely gleeful message: “Who can figure out the true meaning of “covfefe” ??? Enjoy!” While it’s pretty obvious Trump meant to type “coverage,” why he tweeted out the mangled would-be rant and didn’t immediately delete it remains a mystery. Sean Spicer, of course, denied that a mastermind like Trump could ever just make a typo, telling reporters that “the President and a small group of people know exactly what he meant.”

Scaramucci Post’s Holocaust Denial Survey
The Scaramucci Post, a still-undefined project borne of Anthony Scaramucci’s post-White House career, took it upon itself to pick Twitter’s brain with a poll asking “How many Jews were killed in the Holocaust?”. After the social media network responded with a collective “WTF?”, this Holocaust denial crowdsourcing was taken down with an apology “if anyone was offended.” The poll’s stated purpose was “to highlight ignorance of the basic facts of the Holocaust”—facts that several former members of the administration could apparently afford to brush up on.

Eric Trump’s Thoughts On “Pocahontas” As A Slur

ABC’s Johnathan Karl questioned why Trump used an offensive slur to attack Sen. Elizabeth Warren, prompting a pipin’ hot take from yet another of POTUS’ large adult sons. It’s hard to know where to begin with this one. Was Eric aware that Pocahontas was a real person? Or that ABC News reporters generally don’t take Disney movies into account when doing their jobs?

Best Shameless Cartoon Villain Move By An Elected Official

Chris Christie’s Beach Day: With no possibility of re-election and his poll numbers deep in the mud, Gov. Chris Christie was darn well going to have himself a sunny July 4 weekend with his family at a beach nobody else had access to because of a New Jersey government shutdown.

Trump Admin. Lifting The Trophy Ban: In this extremely polarized political climate, it’s rare for the Trump administration to enact a policy that pisses pretty much everyone off. Yet they managed to do exactly that when the Interior Department’s U.S Fish and Wildlife Service announced that it was lifting an Obama-era hunting ban on elephants in Zimbabwe and Zambia. Both liberals and conservatives slammed the move as needlessly cruel and inhumane, and both Trump and Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke scrambled to put the decision on hold.

Gorka’s Special Nazi-Affiliated Attire: Self-described “counterterrorism expert” Dr. Sebastian Gorka wore to a White House inaugural ball a medal associated with the Order of Vitéz, a Hungarian knightly order that collaborated with the Nazis and whose founder oversaw the deportation of hundreds of thousands of Jews during the Holocaust. While Trump’s campaign was awash with racist talking points, Gorka’s medal was the most brazen indicator of the new administration’s embrace of the far right.

LePage Ignoring His Constituents’ Medicaid Vote: Maine Gov. Paul LePage really, really hates Obamacare and its Medicaid expansion, and tried to convince his state to vote against it by (unsuccessfully) attempting to call it “welfare” on the ballot. Maine voted overwhelmingly to expand the program during a November referendum anyway, but LePage wasn’t about to let pesky democracy tell him what to do. He defiantly announced that he refused to implement Medicaid until the program “has been fully funded by the Legislature at the levels DHHS has calculated.”

Best Moment From A Press Conference

SHS’ Story Time With “Pickle”: Several days after replacing Sean Spicer as White House press secretary, Sarah Huckabee Sanders kicked off a press briefing by sharing a heartfelt letter to the President from a nine-year-old named Dylan Durban, better known as “Pickle.” In it, the child describes his Trump-themed birthday party and laments, “I don’t know why people don’t like you.” It was a bizarre display of self-promotion that led several people to wonder if “Pickle” was even real (he is).

Spicer’s Inauguration Crowd Size Debacle: It was the first White House press briefing of the Trump administration, and Sean Spicer wanted to make something extremely clear. “This was the largest audience ever to witness an inauguration, period,” Spicer thundered. “Both in person and around the globe.” Trump was clearly smarting over less-than-flattering photos comparing his inauguration crowd size to that of President Barack Obama, and needed Spicer to set the record straight on the nation’s adoration for their new commander-in-chief. But Spicer’s claims ran contrary to the cold, hard numbers, and the ex-press secretary found himself mercilessly lampooned by SNL (and everyone, really) for his efforts.

Trump Assuming All Black People Are Buds: Trump, supposedly making good on a campaign promise to rescue black people from the dystopian urban hellholes he thinks they all live in, said he had “great people lined up to help with the inner cities” during a press conference. American Urban Radio Networks reporter April Ryan, who is black, asked if the President was going to include the Congressional Black Caucus. He interrupted to ask if she was friends with CBC members and told her to set the meeting up herself.

John Kelly’s Civil War History Lesson: Amid a growing movement to take down Confederate statues after the Charlottesville white supremacist rally, the White House stood firmly in the pro-statue “heritage” camp. The chief of staff took it one step further, calling Robert E. Lee an “honorable man” and arguing that a simple “lack of an ability to compromise” led to the Civil War. Few slaves or their descendents would probably agree that the man who fought to keep them in chains was a cool guy, or that the North should’ve been flexible with its slavery-is-wrong stance.

Sanders On Trump Sharing Islamophobic Snuff Vids: After the President retweeted several Islamophobia-stoking videos falsely purporting to show violence from Muslims migrants, the White House press secretary insisted that Trump was “elevating the conversation.” Did it matter if the videos were exactly the kind of “fake news” POTUS is always ranting about? No, says Sanders, because “the threat is real.” Okay, Sarah.

12.14.2017 - 2:10 PM EDT

The general reaction to Rod Rosenstein’s testimony yesterday was that he did a decent, even patient job explaining to feral Republican lawmakers why there was no reason to consider removing Bob Mueller from his post. Indeed, he said, it was difficult to think of anyone more qualified to serve in the position. But I want to direct your attention to a deeply disturbing aspect of yesterday’s hearing.

12.14.2017 - 12:08 PM EDT

There was a fascinating moment in Paul Ryan’s press conference a few moments ago. It was quick and tucked into a conversation about “entitlement reform.” But it was bracingly specific. Ryan noted that to avoid steep cuts to programs like Social Security and Medicare, American women will need to start having more babies. Here’s the video.

12.14.2017 - 9:07 AM EDT

This is the most surreal and dark story. An outfit called the Kentucky Center for Investigative Reporting earlier this week published an incredibly lengthy and detailed expose of a Kentucky state representative named Danny Ray Johnson. Last night, moments before I started writing this post on a train home from Washington, Johnson was found on a bridge with a self-inflicted gunshot wound to his head. This was a day after defiantly protesting his innocence and refusing to resign his office.

12.12.2017 - 10:39 PM EDT

There it is. Democrat Doug Jones defeats Roy Moore to become the next Senator from the State of Alabama.

12.12.2017 - 10:21 PM EDT

My talent on night’s like this isn’t understanding the details returns numbers. It’s closely watching the people who do. But looking at the map right now, it’s hard for me to see how Roy Moore wins this. At this moment it’s 85% reporting and an exact tie. But looking at the counties, virtually all the remaining votes are in big Democratic cities. They have substantial numbers of votes left to count and most of those big cities have big lopsided Doug Jones margins. In a couple they’re closer but still with Jones ahead.

12.12.2017 - 10:08 PM EDT

Still a complicated picture. But you’d rather be Jones right now than Moore. The current results have Moore up by a bit more than 1 point with 81% of the precincts reporting. The good news for Jones is that it’s mostly blue territory left to report – mainly the big urban conglomerations. What’s keeping Jones in this race and with a seeming advantage is big turnout in heavily African-American areas.

12.12.2017 - 9:43 PM EDT

We have a complicated picture so far but one that seems more favorable to Doug Jones than to Roy Moore. There is some evidence that traditionally blue parts of the state are over-performing in turnout terms while red areas are underperforming. Just how much that’s the case and whether more returns will muddy that apparent pattern we don’t yet know.

12.12.2017 - 9:24 PM EDT

As I mentioned below, the NYT has a very sophisticated realtime prediction widget that shifts its prediction as results come in. It had been bouncing around dead even with a mild advantage either way. Then it swung hard in Jones’ favor. I saw a number of people speculate that there had been some sort of reporting error. Here’s a tweet just now from a member of the team that runs it.

I would treat this as a tentative read, subject to change. What it points to is dramatic enough that it could be a reporting error or just a quirk in the prediction model. I am, however, seeing some indications of something we saw in Virginia: both candidates getting solid percentages from their strong regions but with Moore getting slightly weaker turnout. As always we need more data. But for the moment things look better for Jones than for Moore.

9:29 PM: This is starting to come into focus: differential turnout. Moore’s winning the red areas, and often with the percentages you’d expect. And vice versa. But turnout is a bit weaker in the red areas and a bit stronger in the blue areas. Frankly, you can’t say that’s a totally unpredictable outcome with motivated Democratic base and a Republican candidate who has been credibly accused of preying on teenager girls.

12.12.2017 - 8:49 PM EDT

8:46 PM: We only have a tiny number of votes reported so far. But even these allow us to compare results in a few places to historical baselines. And they seem encouraging for Doug Jones. I would say that based on these very limited results there are enough good indications to make a Jones’ win plausible. Not saying probable necessarily. But we are not seeing the kind of totals that tell you, “Okay, he’s just not going to be able to do this.”

8:49 PM: It looks like this could be a long night.

8:55 PM: Latest numbers are a bit friendlier to Moore. But still extremely close. Anything could happen, etc.

8:59 PM: One major takeaway so far – and we still have less than 10% of the vote in – is that there aren’t a ton of write-ins, at least not relative to an extremely Republican state in which by many customary standards the GOP nominee would be an unacceptable alternative.

9:03 PM: A standard pattern we’re now seeing play out: earlier reporting is from white rural counties. The more Democratic and African-American cities come in later. But they’re now starting to come in a bit more.

9:05 PM: Takeaway from the early returns is that they’ve swung back and forth. But ‘swung’ only in the sense of indications of an extremely close race which have swung from a sliver of an advantage for one candidate to the other. I have basically no idea what’s going to happen.

12.12.2017 - 8:31 PM EDT

So here we are. Only a trickle of results in so far. But we’ve seen enough early data to sense we’ve at least got a genuine race on our hands. TPM’s Cam Joseph is in Montgomery. The TPM team is at its workstations. I’m actually on a train. But as long as this train wifi holds out we’re doing this thing.

8:37 PM: So a few things I’m watching. The New York Times has a little widget that updates its predictions as data comes in. I watch it pretty closely. Right now it’s pointing to a minuscule Jones advantage. I also have a twitter list of people who are serious election night data/number crunchers. Certainly others who aren’t on my list. But these are all people I trust to help me understand the rush of numbers. Here’s the link.

8:40 PM: Only thing I think I’m comfortable saying so far is that Jones is making a very strong run in the state for a Democrat. Of course, the bar is low and the Republican is so bad Republicans considering trying to call off the election only few weeks ago. Still, this is a very, very Republican state.

12.12.2017 - 7:39 PM EDT

TPM’s Cameron Joseph is in Montgomery at the Roy Moore election night event. You can follow him on Twitter, and stick around with us through the evening. Anyone’s guess in a very unpredictable race.

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